Stock Analysis

Poly Medicure Limited's (NSE:POLYMED) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

NSEI:POLYMED
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Poly Medicure Limited's (NSE:POLYMED) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 60.1x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 28x and even P/E's below 16x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Poly Medicure certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Poly Medicure

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:POLYMED Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 23rd 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Poly Medicure.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

Poly Medicure's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 59% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 91% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 24% as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 24%, which is not materially different.

In light of this, it's curious that Poly Medicure's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Poly Medicure's P/E?

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Poly Medicure currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Poly Medicure with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

If you're unsure about the strength of Poly Medicure's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Poly Medicure is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.