Stock Analysis

Rossell India (NSE:ROSSELLIND) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

NSEI:ROSSELLIND
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Rossell India Limited (NSE:ROSSELLIND) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Rossell India

What Is Rossell India's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Rossell India had ₹1.52b of debt at September 2021, down from ₹1.85b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹31.6m, its net debt is less, at about ₹1.49b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:ROSSELLIND Debt to Equity History February 16th 2022

How Healthy Is Rossell India's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Rossell India had liabilities of ₹1.73b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹324.2m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₹31.6m in cash and ₹335.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹1.69b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Rossell India has a market capitalization of ₹4.78b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Rossell India has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.5 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 2.9 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Worse, Rossell India's EBIT was down 53% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Rossell India will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Rossell India created free cash flow amounting to 6.5% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

Mulling over Rossell India's attempt at (not) growing its EBIT, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But at least its level of total liabilities is not so bad. Overall, it seems to us that Rossell India's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Rossell India (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.