Stock Analysis

Here's Why Rana Sugars (NSE:RANASUG) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

NSEI:RANASUG
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Rana Sugars Limited (NSE:RANASUG) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Rana Sugars

How Much Debt Does Rana Sugars Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Rana Sugars had debt of ₹1.79b at the end of March 2021, a reduction from ₹3.09b over a year. However, it does have ₹766.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹1.02b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:RANASUG Debt to Equity History July 21st 2021

A Look At Rana Sugars' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Rana Sugars had liabilities of ₹6.54b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹1.19b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹766.5m and ₹1.72b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹5.25b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's ₹4.95b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While Rana Sugars's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.81 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 5.4 times last year does give us pause. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. Pleasingly, Rana Sugars is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 104% gain in the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Rana Sugars's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Rana Sugars actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

The good news is that Rana Sugars's demonstrated ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its level of total liabilities. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Rana Sugars can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 5 warning signs we've spotted with Rana Sugars .

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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