Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For M. K. Proteins (NSE:MKPL)
The subdued market reaction suggests that M. K. Proteins Limited's (NSE:MKPL) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.
View our latest analysis for M. K. Proteins
Zooming In On M. K. Proteins' Earnings
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
Over the twelve months to March 2022, M. K. Proteins recorded an accrual ratio of 0.33. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of ₹117m despite its profit of ₹101.8m, mentioned above. We saw that FCF was ₹53m a year ago though, so M. K. Proteins has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of M. K. Proteins.
Our Take On M. K. Proteins' Profit Performance
As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that M. K. Proteins didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that M. K. Proteins' statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for M. K. Proteins you should be mindful of and 3 of them are a bit concerning.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of M. K. Proteins' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:MKPL
M. K. Proteins
Manufactures and trades in vegetable refined oil and by-products.
Excellent balance sheet and fair value.