United Spirits (NSE:MCDOWELL-N) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital
Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after investigating United Spirits (NSE:MCDOWELL-N), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on United Spirits is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.18 = ₹11b ÷ (₹98b - ₹36b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).
Thus, United Spirits has an ROCE of 18%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 15% generated by the Beverage industry.
View our latest analysis for United Spirits
In the above chart we have measured United Spirits' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for United Spirits.
SWOT Analysis for United Spirits
- Earnings growth over the past year exceeded its 5-year average.
- Debt is not viewed as a risk.
- Earnings growth over the past year underperformed the Beverage industry.
- Expensive based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
- Annual earnings are forecast to grow for the next 3 years.
- Annual earnings are forecast to grow slower than the Indian market.
How Are Returns Trending?
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at United Spirits doesn't inspire confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 18% from 31% five years ago. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
On a side note, United Spirits has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 37% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
What We Can Learn From United Spirits' ROCE
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that United Spirits is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. And the stock has followed suit returning a meaningful 43% to shareholders over the last five years. So while the underlying trends could already be accounted for by investors, we still think this stock is worth looking into further.
If you want to continue researching United Spirits, you might be interested to know about the 1 warning sign that our analysis has discovered.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:UNITDSPR
United Spirits
Engages in the manufacture, sale, and distribution of alcoholic beverages and other allied spirits in India and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.