Stock Analysis

Magadh Sugar & Energy Limited's (NSE:MAGADSUGAR) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

NSEI:MAGADSUGAR
Source: Shutterstock

Most readers would already be aware that Magadh Sugar & Energy's (NSE:MAGADSUGAR) stock increased significantly by 55% over the past three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. In this article, we decided to focus on Magadh Sugar & Energy's ROE.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

See our latest analysis for Magadh Sugar & Energy

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Magadh Sugar & Energy is:

10% = ₹657m ÷ ₹6.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every ₹1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated ₹0.10 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of Magadh Sugar & Energy's Earnings Growth And 10% ROE

When you first look at it, Magadh Sugar & Energy's ROE doesn't look that attractive. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 10%. We can see that Magadh Sugar & Energy has grown at a five year net income growth average rate of 4.9%, which is a bit on the lower side. Bear in mind, the company's ROE is not very high . So this could also be one of the reasons behind the company's low growth in earnings.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Magadh Sugar & Energy's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 17% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growth
NSEI:MAGADSUGAR Past Earnings Growth October 30th 2023

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Magadh Sugar & Energy's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Magadh Sugar & Energy Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

A low three-year median payout ratio of 20% (implying that the company retains the remaining 80% of its income) suggests that Magadh Sugar & Energy is retaining most of its profits. This should be reflected in its earnings growth number, but that's not the case. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

In addition, Magadh Sugar & Energy has been paying dividends over a period of six years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

Conclusion

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Magadh Sugar & Energy's performance. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. To know the 3 risks we have identified for Magadh Sugar & Energy visit our risks dashboard for free.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.