Stock Analysis

ITC's (NSE:ITC) Dividend Will Be Increased To ₹6.00

NSEI:ITC
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The board of ITC Limited (NSE:ITC) has announced that the dividend on 5th of March will be increased to ₹6.00, which will be 14% higher than last year's payment of ₹5.25 which covered the same period. This takes the annual payment to 3.0% of the current stock price, which unfortunately is below what the industry is paying.

See our latest analysis for ITC

ITC's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

It would be nice for the yield to be higher, but we should also check if higher levels of dividend payment would be sustainable. Before making this announcement, ITC was paying out quite a large proportion of both earnings and cash flow, with the dividend being 100% of cash flows. Paying out such a high proportion of cash flows can expose the business to needing to cut the dividend if the business runs into some challenges.

The next year is set to see EPS grow by 32.6%. Assuming the dividend continues along the course it has been charting recently, our estimates show the payout ratio being 72% which brings it into quite a comfortable range.

historic-dividend
NSEI:ITC Historic Dividend February 7th 2023

ITC Has A Solid Track Record

The company has been paying a dividend for a long time, and it has been quite stable which gives us confidence in the future dividend potential. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ₹3.00 in 2013 to the most recent total annual payment of ₹11.50. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 14% over that duration. Rapidly growing dividends for a long time is a very valuable feature for an income stock.

We Could See ITC's Dividend Growing

The company's investors will be pleased to have been receiving dividend income for some time. We are encouraged to see that ITC has grown earnings per share at 9.6% per year over the past five years. Past earnings growth has been decent, but unless this is one of those rare businesses that can grow without additional capital investment or marketing spend, we'd generally expect the higher payout ratio to limit its future growth prospects.

Our Thoughts On ITC's Dividend

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think ITC will make a great income stock. We can't deny that the payments have been very stable, but we are a little bit worried about the very high payout ratio. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've picked out 1 warning sign for ITC that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.