Some Investors May Be Worried About Godrej Agrovet's (NSE:GODREJAGRO) Returns On Capital
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. In light of that, when we looked at Godrej Agrovet (NSE:GODREJAGRO) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Godrej Agrovet:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.15 = ₹4.3b ÷ (₹48b - ₹20b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2021).
Thus, Godrej Agrovet has an ROCE of 15%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 12% generated by the Food industry.
Check out our latest analysis for Godrej Agrovet
In the above chart we have measured Godrej Agrovet's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
What Does the ROCE Trend For Godrej Agrovet Tell Us?
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Godrej Agrovet doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 23%, but since then they've fallen to 15%. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
On a related note, Godrej Agrovet has decreased its current liabilities to 41% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money. Keep in mind 41% is still pretty high, so those risks are still somewhat prevalent.
In Conclusion...
To conclude, we've found that Godrej Agrovet is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Unsurprisingly, the stock has only gained 17% over the last three years, which potentially indicates that investors are accounting for this going forward. So if you're looking for a multi-bagger, the underlying trends indicate you may have better chances elsewhere.
One more thing: We've identified 3 warning signs with Godrej Agrovet (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them would certainly be useful.
While Godrej Agrovet isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NSEI:GODREJAGRO
Godrej Agrovet
An agri-business company, provides products and services that enhance crop and livestock yields in India and internationally.
Reasonable growth potential with proven track record and pays a dividend.