Stock Analysis

Dalmia Bharat Sugar and Industries Limited (NSE:DALMIASUG) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

NSEI:DALMIASUG
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It is hard to get excited after looking at Dalmia Bharat Sugar and Industries' (NSE:DALMIASUG) recent performance, when its stock has declined 9.9% over the past week. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. In this article, we decided to focus on Dalmia Bharat Sugar and Industries' ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

See our latest analysis for Dalmia Bharat Sugar and Industries

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Dalmia Bharat Sugar and Industries is:

12% = ₹2.9b ÷ ₹24b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every ₹1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of ₹0.12.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of Dalmia Bharat Sugar and Industries' Earnings Growth And 12% ROE

At first glance, Dalmia Bharat Sugar and Industries' ROE doesn't look very promising. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 11%, we may spare it some thought. Even so, Dalmia Bharat Sugar and Industries has shown a fairly decent growth in its net income which grew at a rate of 15%. Considering the moderately low ROE, it is quite possible that there might be some other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

Next, on comparing Dalmia Bharat Sugar and Industries' net income growth with the industry, we found that the company's reported growth is similar to the industry average growth rate of 16% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
NSEI:DALMIASUG Past Earnings Growth April 28th 2022

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Dalmia Bharat Sugar and Industries is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Dalmia Bharat Sugar and Industries Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

In Dalmia Bharat Sugar and Industries' case, its respectable earnings growth can probably be explained by its low three-year median payout ratio of 7.4% (or a retention ratio of 93%), which suggests that the company is investing most of its profits to grow its business.

Moreover, Dalmia Bharat Sugar and Industries is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 18% over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for Dalmia Bharat Sugar and Industries is speculated to rise to 16% despite the anticipated increase in the payout ratio. There could probably be other factors that could be driving the future growth in the ROE.

Conclusion

Overall, we feel that Dalmia Bharat Sugar and Industries certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Even in spite of the low rate of return, the company has posted impressive earnings growth as a result of reinvesting heavily into its business. We also studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that the company's earnings growth is expected be similar to its current growth rate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.