Stock Analysis

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Continental Seeds and Chemicals Limited's (NSE:CONTI) 26% Price Drop

NSEI:CONTI
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Continental Seeds and Chemicals Limited (NSE:CONTI) share price has dived 26% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 33% in the last year.

Following the heavy fall in price, Continental Seeds and Chemicals may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x, since almost half of all companies in the Food industry in India have P/S ratios greater than 1.1x and even P/S higher than 4x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Continental Seeds and Chemicals

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:CONTI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 20th 2024

What Does Continental Seeds and Chemicals' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Continental Seeds and Chemicals certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Continental Seeds and Chemicals will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Continental Seeds and Chemicals will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Continental Seeds and Chemicals' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 59% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen a 19% overall rise in revenue, aided extensively by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 12% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why Continental Seeds and Chemicals' P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

The southerly movements of Continental Seeds and Chemicals' shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

In line with expectations, Continental Seeds and Chemicals maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider industry forecast. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Continental Seeds and Chemicals (2 are significant!) that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Continental Seeds and Chemicals' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.