Stock Analysis

Is Chaman Lal Setia Exports (NSE:CLSEL) A Risky Investment?

NSEI:CLSEL
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Chaman Lal Setia Exports Ltd. (NSE:CLSEL) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Chaman Lal Setia Exports

How Much Debt Does Chaman Lal Setia Exports Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Chaman Lal Setia Exports had ₹1.75b of debt, up from ₹1.20b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had ₹673.6m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹1.08b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:CLSEL Debt to Equity History September 21st 2024

How Strong Is Chaman Lal Setia Exports' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Chaman Lal Setia Exports had liabilities of ₹2.23b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹578.5m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹673.6m in cash and ₹2.07b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹58.5m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This state of affairs indicates that Chaman Lal Setia Exports' balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the ₹12.7b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Chaman Lal Setia Exports has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.65. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 15.6 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. On the other hand, Chaman Lal Setia Exports saw its EBIT drop by 7.1% in the last twelve months. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Chaman Lal Setia Exports will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Chaman Lal Setia Exports created free cash flow amounting to 3.9% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

On our analysis Chaman Lal Setia Exports's interest cover should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. In particular, conversion of EBIT to free cash flow gives us cold feet. Considering this range of data points, we think Chaman Lal Setia Exports is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Chaman Lal Setia Exports you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.