Stock Analysis

Britannia Industries Limited Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

NSEI:BRITANNIA
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There's been a notable change in appetite for Britannia Industries Limited (NSE:BRITANNIA) shares in the week since its half-year report, with the stock down 11% to ₹5,047. It was not a great result overall. While revenues of ₹89b were in line with analyst predictions, earnings were less than expected, missing statutory estimates by 14% to hit ₹22.06 per share. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

See our latest analysis for Britannia Industries

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NSEI:BRITANNIA Earnings and Revenue Growth November 14th 2024

After the latest results, the 35 analysts covering Britannia Industries are now predicting revenues of ₹179.9b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a modest 4.6% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to rise 3.6% to ₹91.65. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of ₹183.0b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹99.83 in 2025. The analysts seem to have become a little more negative on the business after the latest results, given the minor downgrade to their earnings per share numbers for next year.

It might be a surprise to learn that the consensus price target fell 6.3% to ₹5,620, with the analysts clearly linking lower forecast earnings to the performance of the stock price. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Britannia Industries at ₹6,895 per share, while the most bearish prices it at ₹4,700. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 9.5% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 8.9% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 11% annually. So although Britannia Industries is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's only growing at about the rate of the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. The consensus price target fell measurably, with the analysts seemingly not reassured by the latest results, leading to a lower estimate of Britannia Industries' future valuation.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Britannia Industries going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

However, before you get too enthused, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Britannia Industries that you should be aware of.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Britannia Industries might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.