Stock Analysis

What You Can Learn From Adani Wilmar Limited's (NSE:AWL) P/E After Its 28% Share Price Crash

NSEI:AWL
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Adani Wilmar Limited (NSE:AWL) share price has dived 28% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Longer-term, the stock has been solid despite a difficult 30 days, gaining 10% in the last year.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, Adani Wilmar may still be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 74.5x, since almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios under 21x and even P/E's lower than 11x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

Adani Wilmar could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Adani Wilmar

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NSEI:AWL Price Based on Past Earnings February 14th 2023
Keen to find out how analysts think Adani Wilmar's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Adani Wilmar's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 27% decrease to the company's bottom line. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 38% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 47% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 26%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we can see why Adani Wilmar is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On Adani Wilmar's P/E

Adani Wilmar's shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Adani Wilmar's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Adani Wilmar you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a P/E below 20x.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.