Stock Analysis

We Think AVT Natural Products (NSE:AVTNPL) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

NSEI:AVTNPL
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that AVT Natural Products Limited (NSE:AVTNPL) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for AVT Natural Products

How Much Debt Does AVT Natural Products Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2021 AVT Natural Products had ₹500.0m of debt, an increase on ₹417.6m, over one year. On the flip side, it has ₹223.7m in cash leading to net debt of about ₹276.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:AVTNPL Debt to Equity History August 10th 2021

How Healthy Is AVT Natural Products' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that AVT Natural Products had liabilities of ₹978.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹174.8m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹223.7m in cash and ₹1.29b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has ₹363.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus suggests that AVT Natural Products has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

AVT Natural Products's net debt is only 0.39 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 30.8 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Another good sign is that AVT Natural Products has been able to increase its EBIT by 29% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is AVT Natural Products's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, AVT Natural Products reported free cash flow worth 6.6% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

AVT Natural Products's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But we must concede we find its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has the opposite effect. Looking at the bigger picture, we think AVT Natural Products's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that AVT Natural Products is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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