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Investors Could Be Concerned With Aegis Logistics' (NSE:AEGISCHEM) Returns On Capital
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after investigating Aegis Logistics (NSE:AEGISCHEM), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Aegis Logistics, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.12 = ₹7.3b ÷ (₹72b - ₹11b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).
So, Aegis Logistics has an ROCE of 12%. In isolation, that's a pretty standard return but against the Oil and Gas industry average of 15%, it's not as good.
Check out our latest analysis for Aegis Logistics
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Aegis Logistics compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Aegis Logistics here for free.
SWOT Analysis for Aegis Logistics
- Earnings growth over the past year exceeded its 5-year average.
- Debt is not viewed as a risk.
- Earnings growth over the past year underperformed the Oil and Gas industry.
- Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Oil and Gas market.
- Expensive based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
- Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the Indian market.
- Paying a dividend but company has no free cash flows.
What Can We Tell From Aegis Logistics' ROCE Trend?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Aegis Logistics, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 17%, but since then they've fallen to 12%. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
On a related note, Aegis Logistics has decreased its current liabilities to 16% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
The Bottom Line
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Aegis Logistics is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. And the stock has followed suit returning a meaningful 65% to shareholders over the last five years. So should these growth trends continue, we'd be optimistic on the stock going forward.
If you want to know some of the risks facing Aegis Logistics we've found 3 warning signs (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:AEGISLOG
Aegis Logistics
Operates as an oil, gas, and chemical logistics company primarily in India.
Reasonable growth potential with proven track record.