Stock Analysis

Aegis Logistics Limited's (NSE:AEGISCHEM) Stock Has Seen Strong Momentum: Does That Call For Deeper Study Of Its Financial Prospects?

NSEI:AEGISLOG
Source: Shutterstock

Most readers would already be aware that Aegis Logistics' (NSE:AEGISCHEM) stock increased significantly by 32% over the past three months. Given that stock prices are usually aligned with a company's financial performance in the long-term, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely to see if they had a hand to play in the recent price move. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Aegis Logistics' ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

View our latest analysis for Aegis Logistics

Advertisement

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Aegis Logistics is:

7.7% = ₹1.3b ÷ ₹17b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2020).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every ₹1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of ₹0.08.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learnt that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Aegis Logistics' Earnings Growth And 7.7% ROE

As you can see, Aegis Logistics' ROE looks pretty weak. An industry comparison shows that the company's ROE is not much different from the industry average of 8.9% either. As a result, Aegis Logistics' decent 11% net income growth seen over the past five years bodes well with us. Given the low ROE, it is likely that there could be some other aspects that are driving this growth as well. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Aegis Logistics' growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 7.7% in the same period, which is great to see.

NSEI:AEGISCHEM Past Earnings Growth July 6th 2020
NSEI:AEGISCHEM Past Earnings Growth July 6th 2020

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. What is AEGISCHEM worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether AEGISCHEM is currently mispriced by the market.

Is Aegis Logistics Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

In Aegis Logistics' case, its respectable earnings growth can probably be explained by its low three-year median payout ratio of 23% (or a retention ratio of 77%), which suggests that the company is investing most of its profits to grow its business.

Moreover, Aegis Logistics is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 17% over the next three years. As a result, the expected drop in Aegis Logistics' payout ratio explains the anticipated rise in the company's future ROE to 21%, over the same period.

Summary

In total, it does look like Aegis Logistics has some positive aspects to its business. With a high rate of reinvestment, albeit at a low ROE, the company has managed to see a considerable growth in its earnings. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

If you decide to trade Aegis Logistics, use the lowest-cost* platform that is rated #1 Overall by Barron’s, Interactive Brokers. Trade stocks, options, futures, forex, bonds and funds on 135 markets, all from a single integrated account.Promoted


New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
*Interactive Brokers Rated Lowest Cost Broker by StockBrokers.com Annual Online Review 2020


Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com.