Stock Analysis

UTI Asset Management Company Limited's (NSE:UTIAMC) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

NSEI:UTIAMC
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22.8x UTI Asset Management Company Limited (NSE:UTIAMC) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios under 18x and even P/E's lower than 9x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

UTI Asset Management has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for UTI Asset Management

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NSEI:UTIAMC Price Based on Past Earnings March 8th 2021
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on UTI Asset Management.

How Is UTI Asset Management's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as UTI Asset Management's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 17% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 7.7% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 24% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 30%, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's alarming that UTI Asset Management's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From UTI Asset Management's P/E?

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of UTI Asset Management's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for UTI Asset Management with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

You might be able to find a better investment than UTI Asset Management. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20x (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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