Stock Analysis

Power Finance Corporation Limited's (NSE:PFC) Share Price Boosted 30% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

NSEI:PFC
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Despite an already strong run, Power Finance Corporation Limited (NSE:PFC) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 30% in the last thirty days. The annual gain comes to 264% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, given about half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 30x, you may still consider Power Finance as a highly attractive investment with its 7.6x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Power Finance has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Power Finance

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:PFC Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Power Finance.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

Power Finance's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 27%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 99% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 0.2% per year during the coming three years according to the seven analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 19% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Power Finance's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Power Finance's P/E?

Power Finance's recent share price jump still sees its P/E sitting firmly flat on the ground. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Power Finance's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Power Finance (2 are concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Power Finance. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.