Stock Analysis

Muthoot Finance's (NSE:MUTHOOTFIN) investors will be pleased with their solid 230% return over the last five years

NSEI:MUTHOOTFIN
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The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. Long term Muthoot Finance Limited (NSE:MUTHOOTFIN) shareholders would be well aware of this, since the stock is up 201% in five years. On top of that, the share price is up 12% in about a quarter. But this could be related to the strong market, which is up 15% in the last three months.

So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 5 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.

See our latest analysis for Muthoot Finance

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During five years of share price growth, Muthoot Finance achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 16% per year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 25% per year, over the same period. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
NSEI:MUTHOOTFIN Earnings Per Share Growth July 17th 2024

We know that Muthoot Finance has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? You could check out this free report showing analyst revenue forecasts.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Muthoot Finance the TSR over the last 5 years was 230%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

Muthoot Finance's TSR for the year was broadly in line with the market average, at 44%. Most would be happy with a gain, and it helps that the year's return is actually better than the average return over five years, which was 27%. It is possible that management foresight will bring growth well into the future, even if the share price slows down. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Muthoot Finance better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Muthoot Finance you should be aware of, and 2 of them are potentially serious.

But note: Muthoot Finance may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Indian exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.