Stock Analysis

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (NSE:MOTILALOFS) Stock Catapults 33% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Market

NSEI:MOTILALOFS
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Despite an already strong run, Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (NSE:MOTILALOFS) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 33% in the last thirty days. The annual gain comes to 227% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 32x, you may still consider Motilal Oswal Financial Services as an attractive investment with its 16.6x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been advantageous for Motilal Oswal Financial Services as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for Motilal Oswal Financial Services

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:MOTILALOFS Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 10th 2024
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What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

Motilal Oswal Financial Services' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 75%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 243% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 13% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 24%.

In light of this, it's understandable that Motilal Oswal Financial Services' P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

What We Can Learn From Motilal Oswal Financial Services' P/E?

Motilal Oswal Financial Services' stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Motilal Oswal Financial Services maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Motilal Oswal Financial Services (1 is a bit concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Motilal Oswal Financial Services, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Motilal Oswal Financial Services is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.