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Earnings Working Against Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited's (NSE:MOTILALOFS) Share Price Following 27% Dive
The Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (NSE:MOTILALOFS) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 27%. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 51% in the last year.
Following the heavy fall in price, Motilal Oswal Financial Services' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.7x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 31x and even P/E's above 58x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
Recent times have been advantageous for Motilal Oswal Financial Services as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Motilal Oswal Financial Services will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Motilal Oswal Financial Services would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 132%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 115% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 1.4% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 19% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that Motilal Oswal Financial Services' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Shares in Motilal Oswal Financial Services have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Motilal Oswal Financial Services' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Motilal Oswal Financial Services has 2 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.
You might be able to find a better investment than Motilal Oswal Financial Services. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:MOTILALOFS
Good value with proven track record and pays a dividend.