Stock Analysis

ICICI Securities Limited's (NSE:ISEC) stock price dropped 4.2% last week; public companies would not be happy

NSEI:ISEC
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Key Insights

  • ICICI Securities' significant public companies ownership suggests that the key decisions are influenced by shareholders from the larger public
  • 75% of the company is held by a single shareholder (ICICI Bank Limited)
  • Institutions own 12% of ICICI Securities

If you want to know who really controls ICICI Securities Limited (NSE:ISEC), then you'll have to look at the makeup of its share registry. And the group that holds the biggest piece of the pie are public companies with 75% ownership. That is, the group stands to benefit the most if the stock rises (or lose the most if there is a downturn).

As market cap fell to ₹199b last week, public companies would have faced the highest losses than any other shareholder groups of the company.

Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about ICICI Securities.

Check out our latest analysis for ICICI Securities

ownership-breakdown
NSEI:ISEC Ownership Breakdown September 27th 2023

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About ICICI Securities?

Institutional investors commonly compare their own returns to the returns of a commonly followed index. So they generally do consider buying larger companies that are included in the relevant benchmark index.

As you can see, institutional investors have a fair amount of stake in ICICI Securities. This suggests some credibility amongst professional investors. But we can't rely on that fact alone since institutions make bad investments sometimes, just like everyone does. It is not uncommon to see a big share price drop if two large institutional investors try to sell out of a stock at the same time. So it is worth checking the past earnings trajectory of ICICI Securities, (below). Of course, keep in mind that there are other factors to consider, too.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NSEI:ISEC Earnings and Revenue Growth September 27th 2023

Hedge funds don't have many shares in ICICI Securities. The company's largest shareholder is ICICI Bank Limited, with ownership of 75%. This essentially means that they have extensive influence, if not outright control, over the future of the corporation. For context, the second largest shareholder holds about 3.1% of the shares outstanding, followed by an ownership of 2.6% by the third-largest shareholder.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. There are a reasonable number of analysts covering the stock, so it might be useful to find out their aggregate view on the future.

Insider Ownership Of ICICI Securities

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

Our most recent data indicates that insiders own less than 1% of ICICI Securities Limited. Keep in mind that it's a big company, and the insiders own ₹15m worth of shares. The absolute value might be more important than the proportional share. It is always good to see at least some insider ownership, but it might be worth checking if those insiders have been selling.

General Public Ownership

With a 13% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over ICICI Securities. While this group can't necessarily call the shots, it can certainly have a real influence on how the company is run.

Public Company Ownership

It appears to us that public companies own 75% of ICICI Securities. This may be a strategic interest and the two companies may have related business interests. It could be that they have de-merged. This holding is probably worth investigating further.

Next Steps:

While it is well worth considering the different groups that own a company, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with ICICI Securities (including 1 which is a bit concerning) .

If you are like me, you may want to think about whether this company will grow or shrink. Luckily, you can check this free report showing analyst forecasts for its future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.