Stock Analysis

Investors Aren't Entirely Convinced About Arman Financial Services Limited's (NSE:ARMANFIN) Earnings

NSEI:ARMANFIN
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Arman Financial Services Limited's (NSE:ARMANFIN) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.4x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 16x and even P/E's above 40x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Arman Financial Services has been doing very well. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Arman Financial Services

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NSEI:ARMANFIN Price Based on Past Earnings August 27th 2020
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Arman Financial Services will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Arman Financial Services' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 81%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 597% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Comparing that to the market, which is only predicted to deliver 9.8% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we find it odd that Arman Financial Services is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Arman Financial Services' P/E

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Arman Financial Services currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 5 warning signs for Arman Financial Services (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that we have uncovered.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a P/E below 20x.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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