Stock Analysis

Does Kaya (NSE:KAYA) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NSEI:KAYA
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Kaya Limited (NSE:KAYA) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Kaya

What Is Kaya's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2021 Kaya had debt of ₹453.8m, up from ₹296.7m in one year. However, it also had ₹255.6m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹198.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:KAYA Debt to Equity History July 14th 2021

How Healthy Is Kaya's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Kaya had liabilities of ₹1.82b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹1.31b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹255.6m as well as receivables valued at ₹113.9m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹2.76b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Kaya is worth ₹5.86b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Kaya's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Kaya made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to ₹2.7b, which is a fall of 30%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Kaya's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at ₹252m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of ₹380m into a profit. So to be blunt we do think it is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Kaya you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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