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Kamat Hotels (India) Limited's (NSE:KAMATHOTEL) Shares Leap 26% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story
Kamat Hotels (India) Limited (NSE:KAMATHOTEL) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 14% over that time.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Kamat Hotels (India) may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Hospitality industry in India have P/S ratios greater than 5.2x and even P/S higher than 10x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
View our latest analysis for Kamat Hotels (India)
How Has Kamat Hotels (India) Performed Recently?
Revenue has risen firmly for Kamat Hotels (India) recently, which is pleasing to see. Perhaps the market is expecting this acceptable revenue performance to take a dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. Those who are bullish on Kamat Hotels (India) will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Kamat Hotels (India)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Kamat Hotels (India)'s is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 11% gain to the company's revenues. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 248% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 33% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it odd that Kamat Hotels (India) is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
What Does Kamat Hotels (India)'s P/S Mean For Investors?
Even after such a strong price move, Kamat Hotels (India)'s P/S still trails the rest of the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We're very surprised to see Kamat Hotels (India) currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we assume there are some significant underlying risks to the company's ability to make money which is applying downwards pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.
It is also worth noting that we have found 5 warning signs for Kamat Hotels (India) (1 is a bit concerning!) that you need to take into consideration.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Kamat Hotels (India) might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:KAMATHOTEL
Moderate and fair value.