Stock Analysis

The Price Is Right For India Tourism Development Corporation Limited (NSE:ITDC) Even After Diving 27%

NSEI:ITDC
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India Tourism Development Corporation Limited (NSE:ITDC) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 27% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 36% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, India Tourism Development's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 57.7x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 24x and even P/E's below 14x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

Earnings have risen at a steady rate over the last year for India Tourism Development, which is generally not a bad outcome. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this good earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for India Tourism Development

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:ITDC Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 3rd 2025
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on India Tourism Development will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Growth For India Tourism Development?

India Tourism Development's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 4.2%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 565% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 25% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's understandable that India Tourism Development's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the bourse.

The Key Takeaway

India Tourism Development's shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that India Tourism Development maintains its high P/E on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for India Tourism Development (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

You might be able to find a better investment than India Tourism Development. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.