Stock Analysis

Devyani International Limited Just Recorded A 25% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

NSEI:DEVYANI
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Devyani International Limited (NSE:DEVYANI) defied analyst predictions to release its quarterly results, which were ahead of market expectations. It was overall a positive result, with revenues beating expectations by 3.6% to hit ₹12b. Devyani International also reported a statutory profit of ₹0.25, which was an impressive 25% above what the analysts had forecast. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Devyani International after the latest results.

Check out our latest analysis for Devyani International

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NSEI:DEVYANI Earnings and Revenue Growth August 8th 2024

Following the latest results, Devyani International's 21 analysts are now forecasting revenues of ₹51.0b in 2025. This would be a huge 30% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to surge 109% to ₹1.14. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of ₹51.2b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹1.24 in 2025. The analysts seem to have become a little more negative on the business after the latest results, given the minor downgrade to their earnings per share numbers for next year.

It might be a surprise to learn that the consensus price target was broadly unchanged at ₹185, with the analysts clearly implying that the forecast decline in earnings is not expected to have much of an impact on valuation. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Devyani International at ₹222 per share, while the most bearish prices it at ₹149. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that Devyani International's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 42% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 29% p.a. over the past three years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 19% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Devyani International to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Devyani International. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at ₹185, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Devyani International going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Devyani International (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.