Stock Analysis

Osia Hyper Retail (NSE:OSIAHYPER) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

NSEI:OSIAHYPER
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Osia Hyper Retail Limited (NSE:OSIAHYPER) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Osia Hyper Retail

What Is Osia Hyper Retail's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2022 Osia Hyper Retail had debt of ₹874.4m, up from ₹573.8m in one year. On the flip side, it has ₹33.7m in cash leading to net debt of about ₹840.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:OSIAHYPER Debt to Equity History December 14th 2022

How Strong Is Osia Hyper Retail's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Osia Hyper Retail had liabilities of ₹1.54b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹1.50b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹33.7m in cash and ₹787.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹2.22b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of ₹2.90b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Osia Hyper Retail's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While Osia Hyper Retail has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 2.3, its interest cover seems weak, at 2.3. This does suggest the company is paying fairly high interest rates. In any case, it's safe to say the company has meaningful debt. Importantly, Osia Hyper Retail grew its EBIT by 64% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Osia Hyper Retail's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Osia Hyper Retail burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say Osia Hyper Retail's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was disappointing. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Osia Hyper Retail stock a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Osia Hyper Retail (of which 2 are potentially serious!) you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.