Stock Analysis

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Osia Hyper Retail Limited (NSE:OSIAHYPER)?

NSEI:OSIAHYPER
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Osia Hyper Retail (NSE:OSIAHYPER) has had a rough three months with its share price down 12%. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. In this article, we decided to focus on Osia Hyper Retail's ROE.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

See our latest analysis for Osia Hyper Retail

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Osia Hyper Retail is:

11% = ₹85m ÷ ₹769m (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2020).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each ₹1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made ₹0.11 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of Osia Hyper Retail's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

At first glance, Osia Hyper Retail's ROE doesn't look very promising. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 4.9%, is definitely interesting. Especially when you consider Osia Hyper Retail's exceptional 39% net income growth over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company does have a moderately low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. So, there might well be other reasons for the earnings to grow. E.g the company has a low payout ratio or could belong to a high growth industry.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Osia Hyper Retail's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 3.1% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
NSEI:OSIAHYPER Past Earnings Growth January 30th 2021

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Osia Hyper Retail is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Osia Hyper Retail Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Conclusion

On the whole, we feel that Osia Hyper Retail's performance has been quite good. Specifically, we like that it has been reinvesting a high portion of its profits at a moderate rate of return, resulting in earnings expansion. If the company continues to grow its earnings the way it has, that could have a positive impact on its share price given how earnings per share influence long-term share prices. Not to forget, share price outcomes are also dependent on the potential risks a company may face. So it is important for investors to be aware of the risks involved in the business. You can see the 3 risks we have identified for Osia Hyper Retail by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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