Stock Analysis
Vinny Overseas Limited's (NSE:VINNY) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 32%
Vinny Overseas Limited (NSE:VINNY) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 32% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 15% in that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, there still wouldn't be many who think Vinny Overseas' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 36.5x is worth a mention when the median P/E in India is similar at about 34x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Vinny Overseas has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
View our latest analysis for Vinny Overseas
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Vinny Overseas will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Does Growth Match The P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Vinny Overseas would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 254%. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 26% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
With this information, we find it interesting that Vinny Overseas is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Bottom Line On Vinny Overseas' P/E
Vinny Overseas' plummeting stock price has brought its P/E right back to the rest of the market. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Vinny Overseas revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 4 warning signs for Vinny Overseas (2 are significant!) that you need to be mindful of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:VINNY
Vinny Overseas
Engages in the manufacturing and processing of textile fabrics in India.