Stock Analysis

Results: Orient Electric Limited Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

NSEI:ORIENTELEC
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Orient Electric Limited (NSE:ORIENTELEC) just released its quarterly report and things are looking bullish. The company beat expectations with revenues of ₹6.6b arriving 6.1% ahead of forecasts. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) were ₹0.49, 8.9% ahead of estimates. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Orient Electric after the latest results.

Check out our latest analysis for Orient Electric

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NSEI:ORIENTELEC Earnings and Revenue Growth October 28th 2024

After the latest results, the twelve analysts covering Orient Electric are now predicting revenues of ₹32.0b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a meaningful 8.2% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to shoot up 65% to ₹4.78. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of ₹31.9b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹5.33 in 2025. The analysts seem to have become more bearish following the latest results. While there were no changes to revenue forecasts, there was a real cut to EPS estimates.

The consensus price target held steady at ₹275, with the analysts seemingly voting that their lower forecast earnings are not expected to lead to a lower stock price in the foreseeable future. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Orient Electric at ₹330 per share, while the most bearish prices it at ₹224. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. The analysts are definitely expecting Orient Electric's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 17% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 9.2% per annum over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 17% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Orient Electric is expected to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Orient Electric. Happily, there were no real changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow in line with the overall industry. The consensus price target held steady at ₹275, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Orient Electric analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

However, before you get too enthused, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Orient Electric that you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.