Stock Analysis

Monte Carlo Fashions (NSE:MONTECARLO) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

NSEI:MONTECARLO
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Monte Carlo Fashions Limited (NSE:MONTECARLO) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Monte Carlo Fashions

What Is Monte Carlo Fashions's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Monte Carlo Fashions had ₹820.5m of debt in September 2020, down from ₹2.47b, one year before. However, it also had ₹768.0m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹52.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:MONTECARLO Debt to Equity History March 24th 2021

How Strong Is Monte Carlo Fashions' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Monte Carlo Fashions had liabilities of ₹2.99b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹1.06b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹768.0m as well as receivables valued at ₹1.95b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹1.34b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Monte Carlo Fashions has a market capitalization of ₹4.39b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. Carrying virtually no net debt, Monte Carlo Fashions has a very light debt load indeed.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Monte Carlo Fashions has very modest net debt, giving rise to a debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.05. And EBIT easily covered the interest expense 8.6 times over, lending force to that view. Also positive, Monte Carlo Fashions grew its EBIT by 21% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Monte Carlo Fashions will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Monte Carlo Fashions recorded free cash flow worth 64% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

The good news is that Monte Carlo Fashions's demonstrated ability handle its debt, based on its EBITDA, delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its EBIT growth rate is also very heartening. Looking at the bigger picture, we think Monte Carlo Fashions's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Monte Carlo Fashions you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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