Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Marvel Decor Limited (NSE:MDL) With Shares Advancing 36%

NSEI:MDL
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Marvel Decor Limited (NSE:MDL) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 36% share price jump in the last month. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 95%.

Following the firm bounce in price, Marvel Decor may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 57.6x, since almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios under 31x and even P/E's lower than 18x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Marvel Decor certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Marvel Decor

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:MDL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 4th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Marvel Decor's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Growth For Marvel Decor?

Marvel Decor's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 36% last year. EPS has also lifted 29% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 26% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we find it concerning that Marvel Decor is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Shares in Marvel Decor have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Marvel Decor revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Marvel Decor (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable).

You might be able to find a better investment than Marvel Decor. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.