Stock Analysis

Is K.P.R. Mill (NSE:KPRMILL) Using Too Much Debt?

NSEI:KPRMILL
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies K.P.R. Mill Limited (NSE:KPRMILL) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for K.P.R. Mill

How Much Debt Does K.P.R. Mill Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that K.P.R. Mill had debt of ₹3.56b at the end of September 2020, a reduction from ₹7.22b over a year. However, it also had ₹2.53b in cash, and so its net debt is ₹1.03b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:KPRMILL Debt to Equity History December 9th 2020

How Healthy Is K.P.R. Mill's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that K.P.R. Mill had liabilities of ₹5.61b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹1.88b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹2.53b in cash and ₹4.47b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹502.2m.

This state of affairs indicates that K.P.R. Mill's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the ₹57.9b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

K.P.R. Mill has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.17. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 12.2 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. On the other hand, K.P.R. Mill's EBIT dived 18%, over the last year. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if K.P.R. Mill can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, K.P.R. Mill recorded free cash flow worth 68% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Happily, K.P.R. Mill's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its EBIT growth rate. All these things considered, it appears that K.P.R. Mill can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for K.P.R. Mill you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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