Stock Analysis

Here's Why K.P.R. Mill (NSE:KPRMILL) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

NSEI:KPRMILL
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that K.P.R. Mill Limited (NSE:KPRMILL) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for K.P.R. Mill

How Much Debt Does K.P.R. Mill Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2022 K.P.R. Mill had ₹11.9b of debt, an increase on ₹6.10b, over one year. However, it does have ₹4.71b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹7.15b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:KPRMILL Debt to Equity History August 17th 2022

How Healthy Is K.P.R. Mill's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, K.P.R. Mill had liabilities of ₹9.79b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹7.02b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹4.71b as well as receivables valued at ₹5.63b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹6.47b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given K.P.R. Mill has a market capitalization of ₹200.3b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

K.P.R. Mill's net debt is only 0.53 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 38.6 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. In addition to that, we're happy to report that K.P.R. Mill has boosted its EBIT by 41%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine K.P.R. Mill's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, K.P.R. Mill reported free cash flow worth 19% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

K.P.R. Mill's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Looking at the bigger picture, we think K.P.R. Mill's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of K.P.R. Mill's earnings per share history for free.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.