Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Kitex Garments (NSE:KITEX)
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. However, after investigating Kitex Garments (NSE:KITEX), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Kitex Garments is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.10 = ₹702m ÷ (₹7.7b - ₹734m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).
Therefore, Kitex Garments has an ROCE of 10%. By itself that's a normal return on capital and it's in line with the industry's average returns of 9.6%.
Check out our latest analysis for Kitex Garments
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Kitex Garments' ROCE against it's prior returns. If you'd like to look at how Kitex Garments has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Does the ROCE Trend For Kitex Garments Tell Us?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Kitex Garments, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 48%, but since then they've fallen to 10%. And considering revenue has dropped while employing more capital, we'd be cautious. If this were to continue, you might be looking at a company that is trying to reinvest for growth but is actually losing market share since sales haven't increased.
On a related note, Kitex Garments has decreased its current liabilities to 9.6% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
The Key Takeaway
From the above analysis, we find it rather worrisome that returns on capital and sales for Kitex Garments have fallen, meanwhile the business is employing more capital than it was five years ago. Long term shareholders who've owned the stock over the last five years have experienced a 68% depreciation in their investment, so it appears the market might not like these trends either. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
On a final note, we found 3 warning signs for Kitex Garments (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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About NSEI:KITEX
Kitex Garments
Manufactures and sells fabric and readymade garments for infants and children in India, the Unites States, and internationally.
Proven track record second-rate dividend payer.