Stock Analysis

Analysts Just Slashed Their Himatsingka Seide Limited (NSE:HIMATSEIDE) EPS Numbers

NSEI:HIMATSEIDE
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The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for Himatsingka Seide Limited (NSE:HIMATSEIDE), with the analysts making across-the-board cuts to their statutory estimates that might leave shareholders a little shell-shocked. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) estimates were cut sharply as the analysts factored in the latest outlook for the business, concluding that they were too optimistic previously.

Following the latest downgrade, Himatsingka Seide's three analysts currently expect revenues in 2023 to be ₹32b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are anticipated to nosedive 30% to ₹10.00 in the same period. Previously, the analysts had been modelling revenues of ₹36b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹26.10 in 2023. It looks like analyst sentiment has declined substantially, with a substantial drop in revenue estimates and a pretty serious decline to earnings per share numbers as well.

See our latest analysis for Himatsingka Seide

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NSEI:HIMATSEIDE Earnings and Revenue Growth June 5th 2022

It'll come as no surprise then, to learn that the analysts have cut their price target 13% to ₹221. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on Himatsingka Seide, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at ₹324 and the most bearish at ₹130 per share. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that the analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Himatsingka Seide's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2023 expected to display 1.8% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 5.1% over the past five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 16% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Himatsingka Seide is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and the latest forecasts imply the business will grow sales slower than the wider market. With a serious cut to this year's expectations and a falling price target, we wouldn't be surprised if investors were becoming wary of Himatsingka Seide.

Even so, the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for the value creation of shareholders. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Himatsingka Seide going out to 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Himatsingka Seide is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.