Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Bajaj Electricals (NSE:BAJAJELEC) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

NSEI:BAJAJELEC
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Bajaj Electricals Limited (NSE:BAJAJELEC) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Bajaj Electricals

What Is Bajaj Electricals's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Bajaj Electricals had ₹10.1b of debt in September 2020, down from ₹18.9b, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹367.0m, its net debt is less, at about ₹9.69b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:BAJAJELEC Debt to Equity History March 8th 2021

How Healthy Is Bajaj Electricals' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Bajaj Electricals had liabilities of ₹26.2b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹2.10b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹367.0m in cash and ₹18.3b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹9.69b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, Bajaj Electricals has a market capitalization of ₹118.4b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Bajaj Electricals has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.9 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 2.8 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Notably, Bajaj Electricals's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year, which isn't ideal given the debt load. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Bajaj Electricals's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Bajaj Electricals produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 78% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

On our analysis Bajaj Electricals's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. To be specific, it seems about as good at covering its interest expense with its EBIT as wet socks are at keeping your feet warm. Considering this range of data points, we think Bajaj Electricals is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Bajaj Electricals (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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