Earnings Miss: Amber Enterprises India Limited Missed EPS By 11% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Amber Enterprises India Limited (NSE:AMBER) just released its latest full-year report and things are not looking great. Amber Enterprises India missed earnings this time around, with ₹67b revenue coming in 6.0% below what the analysts had modelled. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) of ₹39.41 also fell short of expectations by 11%. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Amber Enterprises India after the latest results.

See our latest analysis for Amber Enterprises India

Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Amber Enterprises India's 21 analysts is for revenues of ₹83.1b in 2025. This reflects a major 24% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to leap 86% to ₹73.30. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of ₹86.6b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹76.46 in 2025. It's pretty clear that pessimism has reared its head after the latest results, leading to a weaker revenue outlook and a small dip in earnings per share estimates.

What's most unexpected is that the consensus price target rose 10% to ₹4,068, strongly implying the downgrade to forecasts is not expected to be more than a temporary blip. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Amber Enterprises India at ₹5,100 per share, while the most bearish prices it at ₹2,920. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Amber Enterprises India'shistorical trends, as the 24% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 is roughly in line with the 20% annual growth over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 16% per year. So although Amber Enterprises India is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's definitely expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. They also downgraded Amber Enterprises India's revenue estimates, but industry data suggests that it is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for Amber Enterprises India going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

You can also see whether Amber Enterprises India is carrying too much debt, and whether its balance sheet is healthy, for free on our platform here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.