Stock Analysis

Getting In Cheap On HRH Next Services Limited (NSE:HRHNEXT) Is Unlikely

NSEI:HRHNEXT
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When close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 33x, you may consider HRH Next Services Limited (NSE:HRHNEXT) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 52x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

For example, consider that HRH Next Services' financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

View our latest analysis for HRH Next Services

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:HRHNEXT Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry November 4th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for HRH Next Services, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Growth For HRH Next Services?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like HRH Next Services' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 42%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year EPS growth is still a noteworthy 8.4% in total. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it concerning that HRH Next Services is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of HRH Next Services revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Having said that, be aware HRH Next Services is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those don't sit too well with us.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if HRH Next Services might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.