Stock Analysis

Firstsource Solutions Limited's (NSE:FSL) 27% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors

NSEI:FSL
Source: Shutterstock

Despite an already strong run, Firstsource Solutions Limited (NSE:FSL) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. The annual gain comes to 137% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

After such a large jump in price, Firstsource Solutions' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 49x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 33x and even P/E's below 19x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Firstsource Solutions hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Firstsource Solutions

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:FSL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry November 7th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Firstsource Solutions will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Growth For Firstsource Solutions?

Firstsource Solutions' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 3.8% decrease to the company's bottom line. Regardless, EPS has managed to lift by a handy 20% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 27% per year as estimated by the ten analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 20% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we can see why Firstsource Solutions is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

The large bounce in Firstsource Solutions' shares has lifted the company's P/E to a fairly high level. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Firstsource Solutions maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Firstsource Solutions, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

New: AI Stock Screener & Alerts

Our new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.

• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)
• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying
• High growth Tech and AI Companies

Or build your own from over 50 metrics.

Explore Now for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.