Stock Analysis

Do Zodiac Energy's (NSE:ZODIAC) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

NSEI:ZODIAC
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It's only natural that many investors, especially those who are new to the game, prefer to buy shares in 'sexy' stocks with a good story, even if those businesses lose money. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.'

If, on the other hand, you like companies that have revenue, and even earn profits, then you may well be interested in Zodiac Energy (NSE:ZODIAC). While that doesn't make the shares worth buying at any price, you can't deny that successful capitalism requires profit, eventually. While a well funded company may sustain losses for years, unless its owners have an endless appetite for subsidizing the customer, it will need to generate a profit eventually, or else breathe its last breath.

See our latest analysis for Zodiac Energy

How Fast Is Zodiac Energy Growing?

As one of my mentors once told me, share price follows earnings per share (EPS). Therefore, there are plenty of investors who like to buy shares in companies that are growing EPS. As a tree reaches steadily for the sky, Zodiac Energy's EPS has grown 34% each year, compound, over three years. If the company can sustain that sort of growth, we'd expect shareholders to come away winners.

I like to take a look at earnings before interest and (EBIT) tax margins, as well as revenue growth, to get another take on the quality of the company's growth. While we note Zodiac Energy's EBIT margins were flat over the last year, revenue grew by a solid 36% to ₹902m. That's a real positive.

In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings, and revenue, over time. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:ZODIAC Earnings and Revenue History January 8th 2021

Since Zodiac Energy is no giant, with a market capitalization of ₹198m, so you should definitely check its cash and debt before getting too excited about its prospects.

Are Zodiac Energy Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Personally, I like to see high insider ownership of a company, since it suggests that it will be managed in the interests of shareholders. So as you can imagine, the fact that Zodiac Energy insiders own a significant number of shares certainly appeals to me. Indeed, with a collective holding of 79%, company insiders are in control and have plenty of capital behind the venture. This makes me think they will be incentivised to plan for the long term - something I like to see. Of course, Zodiac Energy is a very small company, with a market cap of only ₹198m. So despite a large proportional holding, insiders only have ₹155m worth of stock. That's not a huge stake in absolute terms, but it should help keep insiders aligned with other shareholders.

It means a lot to see insiders invested in the business, but I find myself wondering if remuneration policies are shareholder friendly. A brief analysis of the CEO compensation suggests they are. For companies with market capitalizations under ₹15b, like Zodiac Energy, the median CEO pay is around ₹3.3m.

The CEO of Zodiac Energy was paid just ₹2.4m in total compensation for the year ending . This could be considered a token amount, and indicates that the company does not need to use payment to motivate the CEO - that is often a good sign. CEO remuneration levels are not the most important metric for investors, but when the pay is modest, that does support enhanced alignment between the CEO and the ordinary shareholders. I'd also argue reasonable pay levels attest to good decision making more generally.

Should You Add Zodiac Energy To Your Watchlist?

Given my belief that share price follows earnings per share you can easily imagine how I feel about Zodiac Energy's strong EPS growth. If you need more convincing beyond that EPS growth rate, don't forget about the reasonable remuneration and the high insider ownership. Each to their own, but I think all this makes Zodiac Energy look rather interesting indeed. You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Zodiac Energy you should be aware of.

Although Zodiac Energy certainly looks good to me, I would like it more if insiders were buying up shares. If you like to see insider buying, too, then this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying, could be exactly what you're looking for.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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