There's Reason For Concern Over Visaman Global Sales Limited's (NSE:VISAMAN) Massive 29% Price Jump
Despite an already strong run, Visaman Global Sales Limited (NSE:VISAMAN) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the last thirty days. The last month tops off a massive increase of 152% in the last year.
Following the firm bounce in price, Visaman Global Sales may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 68.3x, since almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios under 27x and even P/E's lower than 15x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
The earnings growth achieved at Visaman Global Sales over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this respectable earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Visaman Global Sales
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Visaman Global Sales' to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 27%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 86% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 25% shows it's about the same on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's curious that Visaman Global Sales' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent earnings trends would weigh down the share price eventually.
The Final Word
The strong share price surge has got Visaman Global Sales' P/E rushing to great heights as well. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Visaman Global Sales revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look similar to current market expectations. When we see average earnings with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Visaman Global Sales (2 don't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're unsure about the strength of Visaman Global Sales' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.