Stock Analysis

V-Guard Industries Limited Just Recorded A 8.6% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

NSEI:VGUARD
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A week ago, V-Guard Industries Limited (NSE:VGUARD) came out with a strong set of third-quarter numbers that could potentially lead to a re-rate of the stock. The company beat expectations with revenues of ₹12b arriving 2.7% ahead of forecasts. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) were ₹1.33, 8.6% ahead of estimates. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on V-Guard Industries after the latest results.

Check out our latest analysis for V-Guard Industries

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NSEI:VGUARD Earnings and Revenue Growth February 4th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from V-Guard Industries' ten analysts is for revenues of ₹54.4b in 2025. This would reflect a notable 17% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to bounce 38% to ₹7.46. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of ₹55.0b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹8.01 in 2025. The analysts seem to have become a little more negative on the business after the latest results, given the small dip in their earnings per share numbers for next year.

The consensus price target held steady at ₹326, with the analysts seemingly voting that their lower forecast earnings are not expected to lead to a lower stock price in the foreseeable future. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. Currently, the most bullish analyst values V-Guard Industries at ₹376 per share, while the most bearish prices it at ₹223. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 13% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 15% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry (in aggregate), which analyst estimates suggest will see revenues grow 21% annually. So although V-Guard Industries is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's forecast to grow slower than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for V-Guard Industries. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that V-Guard Industries' revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for V-Guard Industries going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for V-Guard Industries that you need to be mindful of.

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Find out whether V-Guard Industries is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.