Stock Analysis

Vesuvius India's (NSE:VESUVIUS) earnings growth rate lags the 51% CAGR delivered to shareholders

NSEI:VESUVIUS
Source: Shutterstock

Vesuvius India Limited (NSE:VESUVIUS) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 26% in the last quarter. But in three years the returns have been great. In three years the stock price has launched 242% higher: a great result. It's not uncommon to see a share price retrace a bit, after a big gain. The fundamental business performance will ultimately dictate whether the top is in, or if this is a stellar buying opportunity.

Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 6.1%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.

See our latest analysis for Vesuvius India

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Vesuvius India was able to grow its EPS at 54% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. We don't think it is entirely coincidental that the EPS growth is reasonably close to the 51% average annual increase in the share price. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. Au contraire, the share price change has arguably mimicked the EPS growth.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
NSEI:VESUVIUS Earnings Per Share Growth January 29th 2025

It is of course excellent to see how Vesuvius India has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. This free interactive report on Vesuvius India's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Vesuvius India, it has a TSR of 247% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Vesuvius India shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 7.4% over one year. And that does include the dividend. Having said that, the five-year TSR of 28% a year, is even better. Potential buyers might understandably feel they've missed the opportunity, but it's always possible business is still firing on all cylinders. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Vesuvius India .

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Indian exchanges.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NSEI:VESUVIUS

Vesuvius India

Manufactures and sells refractory products in India.

Outstanding track record with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.

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