Universal Cables Limited (NSE:UNIVCABLES) Surges 27% Yet Its Low P/E Is No Reason For Excitement
Those holding Universal Cables Limited (NSE:UNIVCABLES) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 12% over that time.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Universal Cables' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20.8x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 27x and even P/E's above 51x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
For example, consider that Universal Cables' financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Universal Cables
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Universal Cables' to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 12%. Regardless, EPS has managed to lift by a handy 14% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 24% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
With this information, we can see why Universal Cables is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Universal Cables' P/E?
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Universal Cables' P/E close to the market median. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Universal Cables revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Universal Cables (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you need to take into consideration.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.