Stock Analysis

Thermax (NSE:THERMAX) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

NSEI:THERMAX
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Thermax Limited (NSE:THERMAX) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Thermax

What Is Thermax's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Thermax had ₹10.6b of debt, an increase on ₹4.65b, over one year. However, it does have ₹23.6b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of ₹13.0b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:THERMAX Debt to Equity History December 17th 2023

How Healthy Is Thermax's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Thermax had liabilities of ₹44.8b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹8.36b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹23.6b and ₹18.6b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹11.0b.

Since publicly traded Thermax shares are worth a total of ₹317.8b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Thermax boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Thermax has boosted its EBIT by 69%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Thermax's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Thermax may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Thermax reported free cash flow worth 6.8% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Thermax has ₹13.0b in net cash. And we liked the look of last year's 69% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Thermax's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Thermax (including 1 which is a bit unpleasant) .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.