Stock Analysis

Revenues Tell The Story For Thermax Limited (NSE:THERMAX) As Its Stock Soars 26%

NSEI:THERMAX
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Despite an already strong run, Thermax Limited (NSE:THERMAX) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 96% in the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in India's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.6x, you may consider Thermax as a stock to avoid entirely with its 5.7x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Thermax

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:THERMAX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 6th 2024

How Has Thermax Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Thermax has been relatively sluggish. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will improve markedly. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Thermax.

How Is Thermax's Revenue Growth Trending?

Thermax's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 14% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 95% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 13% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 9.6% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Thermax's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Thermax's P/S?

Thermax's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Thermax maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Machinery industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Thermax with six simple checks.

If you're unsure about the strength of Thermax's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Thermax might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.