Stock Analysis
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Texmaco Rail & Engineering Limited (NSE:TEXRAIL)?
Texmaco Rail & Engineering Limited (NSE:TEXRAIL), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NSEI, rising to highs of ₹233 and falling to the lows of ₹172. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Texmaco Rail & Engineering's current trading price of ₹188 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Texmaco Rail & Engineering’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
See our latest analysis for Texmaco Rail & Engineering
Is Texmaco Rail & Engineering Still Cheap?
According to our price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average, the stock price seems to be justfied. We’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 36.07x is currently trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 37.39x, which means if you buy Texmaco Rail & Engineering today, you’d be paying a decent price for it. And if you believe Texmaco Rail & Engineering should be trading in this range, then there isn’t much room for the share price to grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. In addition to this, it seems like Texmaco Rail & Engineering’s share price is quite stable, which could mean there may be less chances to buy low in the future now that it’s trading around the price multiples of other industry peers. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.
What does the future of Texmaco Rail & Engineering look like?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Texmaco Rail & Engineering's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 36%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? TEXRAIL’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at TEXRAIL? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below the industry PE ratio?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on TEXRAIL, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the optimistic forecast is encouraging for TEXRAIL, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Our analysis shows 2 warning signs for Texmaco Rail & Engineering (1 is concerning!) and we strongly recommend you look at these before investing.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:TEXRAIL
Texmaco Rail & Engineering
Manufactures, sells, and provides services for rail and rail related products in India and internationally.