Skipper Limited's (NSE:SKIPPERPP) Shares Climb 37% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up
Skipper Limited (NSE:SKIPPERPP) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 37% gain and recovering from prior weakness. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.
Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 31x, you may consider Skipper as a stock to potentially avoid with its 44.5x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Skipper has been doing very well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Skipper
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Skipper's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Growth For Skipper?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Skipper's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 129%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 80% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 24% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
In light of this, it's alarming that Skipper's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Skipper's P/E is getting right up there since its shares have risen strongly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Skipper currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Skipper (2 are potentially serious!) that you need to take into consideration.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Skipper. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.